ADVT: SELL ON AMAZON
Think of Usain bolt. He created a world record in 100m dash. Could he repeat the record performance the next day after winning gold? Probably, he could not. Because many factors come into play on that particular day like his mood, the condition of the track, the passion of the crowd, etc. Things will not fall into paces again.
After an extreme performance, all of us may fall back to our average or around the average. That is why, a student who excelled in school final year, may not make it at the college level.
We have our own average values of BP, sugar, temperature, speed of writing, speed of running, response time, etc. When running, the BP value may increase, after a while, it will fall back to 'our average'. This is called"regression to mean" mathematically.
The above is the probability curve drawn between performance and its quality. Mostly, our performance cluster around means. Sometimes, we perform very poorly or excellently.
But, in the Olympics, interview, dating, conference, we have to push our limits and excel. One can always attempt to do that. But golden moments occur rarely.
In some experiment results, survey findings should not be accepted immediately. We should find whether they will regress to mean a little while later.
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